Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-23 3.838187 4.163982 4.521081 4.944697 5.437735 5.998828 6.693593
2025-11-30 3.368651 3.794935 4.293464 4.930235 5.738550 6.755273 8.175092
2025-12-07 3.021459 3.474689 4.024275 4.757224 5.738560 7.056176 9.058592
2025-12-14 2.750911 3.209979 3.781267 4.567765 5.664416 7.215200 9.745535
2025-12-21 2.607423 3.086018 3.697013 4.565569 5.828760 7.717756 11.059719
2025-12-28 2.475743 2.963856 3.600090 4.528954 5.929403 8.130137 12.330623
2026-01-04 2.319616 2.797665 3.429327 4.368026 5.818408 8.178182 12.940192
2026-01-11 2.232122 2.716575 3.367457 4.356270 5.932207 8.614856 14.455390
2026-01-18 2.188416 2.690972 3.379240 4.452146 6.226829 9.422086 17.111399
2026-01-25 2.318865 2.912740 3.759370 5.154552 7.663285 12.830975 29.176938
2026-02-01 2.178797 2.742662 3.549790 4.887569 7.314704 12.390835 29.009062
2026-02-08 2.053699 2.589294 3.358281 4.638333 6.976364 11.922654 28.551957
2026-02-15 1.995906 2.539485 3.333688 4.689300 7.265788 13.112057 36.493986
2026-02-22 1.925360 2.468232 3.273007 4.676098 7.436368 14.110772 46.011234
2026-03-01 1.829726 2.354274 3.137451 4.517339 7.279697 14.184799 50.760705
2026-03-08 1.738517 2.242804 2.999588 4.343141 7.067150 14.046686 54.157232
2026-03-15 1.691160 2.194805 2.959511 4.341120 7.226818 15.073852 71.151455
2026-03-22 1.641041 2.140118 2.905137 4.307410 7.310304 15.910953 92.644728
2026-03-29 1.571704 2.053296 2.794068 4.159079 7.109290 15.726871 100.195402
2026-04-05 1.533689 2.013050 2.757248 4.148232 7.231295 16.746793 142.940532
2026-04-12 1.516691 2.004355 2.771759 4.236649 7.609636 18.971233 313.495020
2026-04-19 1.593219 2.145744 3.048946 4.881461 9.621189 31.276436 NaN
2026-04-26 1.521225 2.046673 2.903821 4.636970 9.089487 29.037808 NaN